Source: https://oldvcr.blogspot.com/2024/10/refurb-weekend-symbolics-macivory-lisp.html

News from July 23, 1987 (Electronics magazine).

There is no #AI revolution
https://www.wheresyoured.at/wheres-the-money/

Kunstigintelligensvinter? Kanskje ikke akkurat i dag, men i løpet av det neste halvåret? Man kan alltids håpe.

The difference between how good NotebookLM is and how terrible Gemini Pro sometimes can be, illustrates the importance of everything around models like Gemini,ChatGPT, Claude etc. Supporting algorithms, contextwindows, chain-of-tought, RAG, tuning, grounding, interface etcetera, are just as important for the perfomance of the actual application or service. Therefore the chance of real "AI winter" is small in my view, even if the models themselves don't improve that much
#AI #AIwinter

I just saw a grad school colleague (PhD 2006ish)

…who has done _real_ NLP work at Microsoft for ~20 years, since before he defended

…announce his layoff due to "changing business needs"

#AIWinter is already here, as the LLMs suck the life out of my entire field

By Acemoglu's calculation, only a small percent of all jobs — a mere 5% — is ripe to be taken over, or at least heavily aided, by #AI over the next decade. Good news for workers, true, but very bad for the companies sinking billions into the technology expecting it to drive a surge in productivity. #AISpring #AICrash #AIWinter

AI Can Only Do 5% of Jobs, Says #MIT Economist Who Fears Crash
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/ai-can-only-do-5-of-jobs-says-mit-economist-who-fears-crash/ar-AA1rAuUy?ocid=emmx-mmx-feeds&PC=EMMX01

Nein! Doch! Ooooh!!! #KI is dying. #peakAI is coming in these days, these years. #autophagy #MadAIsyndrom Brace yourself! #AIWinter is coming.
#toldyouso for years.

https://www.deutschlandfunk.de/ki-kollaps-daten-sprachmodelle-training-dlf-d0b03f04-100.html

According to this writer, we are currently witnessing the fifth hype cycle concerning AI:

#AI #GenerativeAI #AIHype #AIWinter: “History does not repeat itself, but it does rhyme. This hype cycle is unlike any that have come before in various ways. There is more money involved now. It’s much more commercial; I had to phrase things above in very general ways because many previous hype waves have been based on research funding, some really being exclusively a phenomenon at one department in DARPA, and not, like, the entire economy.

I cannot tell you when the current mania will end and this bubble will burst. If I could, you’d be reading this in my $100,000 per month subscribers-only trading strategy newsletter and not a public blog. What I can tell you is that computers cannot think, and that the problems of the current instantation of the nebulously defined field of “AI” will not all be solved within “5 to 20 years”.”

https://blog.glyph.im/2024/05/grand-unified-ai-hype.html

I'm predicting an #AI winter coming in one to two years.

And with it, it will snow up the tech industry as a whole.

"I believe that artificial intelligence has three quarters to prove itself before the apocalypse comes, and when it does, it will be that much worse, savaging the revenues of the biggest companies in tech.", predicts Ed Zitron.

https://www.wheresyoured.at/peakai/

Is this already the nex AI Winter? #AIWinter ?

"The tech company said it would stop its Gemini model generating images of people after social media users posted examples of images generated by the tool that depicted some historical figures – including popes and the founding fathers of the US – in a variety of ethnicities and genders."

Well, OpenAI had an "explanation" that sent people to ROFL. But this is mind-blowing. Did Google stop its AI because it was too woke?

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/feb/22/google-pauses-ai-generated-images-of-people-after-ethnicity-criticism

Ya se va acercando al #AIwinter, ya: https://www.genbeta.com/actualidad/inteligencia-artificial-tardara-quitar-trabajo-se-necesitan-muchas-ia-para-sustituir-a-solo-profesional-eso-caro

Ya viene el #AIwinter, ya viene: https://elpais.com/tecnologia/2024-01-19/yann-lecun-cientifico-jefe-de-ia-de-meta-una-inteligencia-artificial-de-nivel-humano-va-a-llevar-mucho-tiempo.html

» Get your thick coats now. There may be yet another #AIWinter , and perhaps even a full scale tech winter, just around the corner. And it is going to be cold. «

Predictions Scorecard
2024 January 01
by @rodneyabrooks

with mention of @filippie509 ;)

https://rodneybrooks.com/predictions-scorecard-2024-january-01

Estoooooo... #AIWinter

Suggestion: for anyone that wants to microblog on Mastodon about the failures and absurdities of #chatGPT, #LLM s, modern #AI "research", etc, may I suggest the hashtag #AIWinter? :P