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#economic

19 posts16 participants1 post today

Average person will be 40% poorer if world warms by 4C
Experts say previous #economic models underestimated impact of #globalheating – as well as likely ‘cascading #supplychain disruptions’
Australian scientists study suggests average per person #GDP across the globe will be reduced by 16% even if warming is kept to 2C above pre-industrial levels. This is a much greater reduction than previous estimates, which found the reduction would be 1.4%.
theguardian.com/environment/20 #climate #climatechange

The Guardian · Average person will be 40% poorer if world warms by 4C, new research showsBy Graham Readfearn

Things that are NOT a #choice, in no particular order:
- Being #LGBTQ+
- Being #Disabled / Unable to Work
- Skin Color
- #Economic Circumstances at Birth
- Country of Origin
- Brain Chemistry

Things that ARE a choice:
- #Religion
- #Bigotry
- #Taxation
- #Government Spending
- Systemic #Equity or Lack Thereof

We need to choose to make life better for the 98%, because of those things that are NOT a choice. #Taxtherich, and use the funds to promote economic equity. That's called #Civilization .

Continued thread

#Arctic #warming could pose a threat to America’s #security too: #Alaska may have new vulnerabilities to both #China & #Russia; changes in #ocean salinity & temp might interfere w/ #submarine detection systems; extremes of climate change, including #permafrost thaw in Russia, may drive #economic #instability, social #unrest, & territorial claims. [#Trump #Intelligence Agencies excluded #ClimateChange from the annual #ThreatAssessment report for the first time in decades — too *woke*]

A new Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between the #IsleofMan and #Liverpool City Region aims to strengthen #economic, cultural, and political ties. The agreement focuses on areas such as business, #tourism, #transport, #health, #energy, and public services. The regions share a long history, enhanced by the opening of a new Isle of Man #ferry terminal in Liverpool, which generated £3.2m for the local economy. This MoU is seen as a significant step towards fostering growth and development through increased collaboration. Both Mayor Steve Rotheram and Isle of Man Chief Minister Alfred Cannan highlighted the importance of closer economic ties and mutual benefits. The agreement also includes an annual conference, alternating between the two regions, and will be reviewed regularly to expand cooperation. With strong business links, including £2bn of annual trade, the partnership aims to open new opportunities for innovation, investment, and community development.
liverpoolcityregion-ca.gov.uk/

#AIConversation: a #conversationwithdeepseek 70b:

Q: what would you say, why did the #Ukraine #conflict escalate and what to do to #deescalate it?
<think>
Okay, so I need to figure out why the Ukraine conflict escalated and how to deescalate it. Hmm, where do I start?

I remember that the conflict has been going on for a while. It started in 2014 with some protests, right? That's when #Crimea was annexed by #Russia. But now it's gotten much worse since
February 2022 because Russia invaded Ukraine more aggressively.

Why did it escalate so much this time? Maybe there are deeper reasons. I think it has to do with historical ties between Russia and Ukraine. They were part of the Soviet Union
together, so there's a lot of shared history, but also some tensions, especially over Ukrainian independence.

Another thing is #NATOexpansion. After the #ColdWar, #NATO started including more Eastern #European countries. #Russia didn't like that because it felt threatened by #military #alliances
getting closer to its #borders. So when #Ukraine considered joining #NATO, maybe #Russia saw that as a direct threat and decided to act.

There's also the issue of pro-Russian #separatists in eastern #Ukraine. Since 2014, they've been fighting against the Ukrainian government, and Russia has supported them. That ongoing
#conflict probably kept tensions high and made things worse over time.

In terms of deescalating, I'm not sure what can be done. Maybe a #ceasefire would help stop the immediate #violence
But how do you get both sides to agree?

They might need some kind of
#mediator or #peacetalks facilitated by other countries or organizations like the #UN.

#Economic #sanctions were imposed on Russia because of their actions, but maybe easing those could be an incentive for deescalation.

Though I'm not sure if that would work without other measures in place.

#Ukraine's #sovereignty is really important here.

They should have the right to make their own decisions about alliances and security without interference from bigger powers like Russia
or NATO.

I think a long-term solution needs to address those underlying issues, maybe through #negotiations where both sides can express their concerns. But it's complicated because there are so
many historical and political factors at play. Plus, you have external actors involved, which might make it harder to reach an agreement.

Overall, it seems like the conflict escalated due to a mix of historical tensions, security concerns, and internal Ukrainian politics.

#Deescalating would require careful diplomacy, possibly involving third parties, to find a compromise that respects Ukraine's sovereignty while addressing #Russia's #fear about #NATOexpansion.

</think>

The Ukraine conflict has deepened due to a complex interplay of historical, political, and security factors. To deescalate, a multifaceted approach is necessary:

1. **Immediate Measures**: Implementing a #ceasefire under international mediation can halt the violence. Organizations like the #UN could facilitate this process.

2. **Diplomatic Engagement**: #Peace talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and mediators are crucial. These should address security concerns, including NATO's expansion and regional
stability.

3. **Economic Incentives**: Easing sanctions on Russia might provide an incentive for deescalation, contingent upon reciprocal actions from Russia.

4. **#Sovereignty #Respect**: Upholding Ukraine's right to #selfdetermination and international relations is essential.

5. **Long-term Solutions**: Negotiations should consider historical ties and political tensions, ensuring a balance between Ukraine's autonomy and regional #security dynamics.

In summary, #deescalation requires careful #diplomacy, addressing both immediate concerns and underlying issues through mediated talks and mutual incentives.

#howto #AI #LLM model #deepseek 70GByte in size have a lot of RAM and fast CPU or GPU:

curl -fsSL ollama.com/install.sh | sh
# then
ollama run deepseek-r1:70b

hashtags: #politics #politic #economy #war #worldorder

From ⁨⁨⁨⁨⁨#AnnafromUkraine⁩⁩⁩⁩⁩ @AnnafromUkraine@youtube.com

RUSSIA EXPIRES BY 2026: EXHAUSTING WAR AND #ECONOMIC #COLLAPSE Vlog 994: War in #Ukraine

#Russia believes if it does not withdraw from war by 2026, it will lose chance for world leadership – #Budanov

#russoUkrainianWar

youtu.be/3CaolSFLPPo

You can always buy me a coffee for more video projects to come:
☕buymeacoffee.com/AnnafromUkrai
or become my patron:
🇺🇦 patreon.com/AnnafromUkraine
or choose our merch on:
❤️ annafromukraine.com

youtu.be- YouTubeEnjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube.

@dw_innovation

#GeoPol #China #Thailand #US #HumanRights #Uyghurs

(1/n)

*"#Thai authorities deported a group of 40 #Uyghur men to #China last month"..."the hell those 40 #Uyghurs will face back in #Xinjiang"*
The last time #Bangkok did this was in 2015.

👉It is possible to see this as a precursor to the #US' waning geopolitical influence, as the disastrous #Trumpean #Foreign, #Economic, and #Security policies of the #AmericaFirst.👈 The...

dw.com/en/thailands-uyghur-dep

Deutsche Welle · Thailand's Uyghur deportations: Balancing China and the WestBy David Hutt